Monday, October 17, 2011

Frank Holmes on Recent M&A As A Bullish Sign

Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors (10/14) sees the recent M&A activity in the energy and mining sectors as a sign of value in the the equity markets.  He notes Sinopec's purchase of Daylight Energy, BHP's purchase of Petrohawk and B2Gold's purchase of Aurynx Gold, among others.  Holmes was quite accurate a couple of weeks back in predicting a market bounce from oversold conditions.

Friday, October 14, 2011

Jim O'Neill of Goldman Sachs Minimizes Recession Risk

The influential Global Asset Management Chairman of Goldman Sachs, Jim O'Neill, does not foresee a double dip recession in the U.S.  Moreover, he does not see a hard landing for the Chinese economy which some, like hedge fund manager and noted China short-seller Jim Chanos, are calling for.  O'Neill's outlook would bode well for stock prices.

Byron Wien

Long-time Wall Street strategist Byron Wien, currently with the Blackstone Group, wrote on 10/3 that after all the negativity of recent weeks, the market was poised for a "positive move", particularly if Europe showed signs of taking serious steps to address its financial crisis.  This is looking like a good call from a wise veteran of The Street. 

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

More Technical Analysis

Mary Ann Bartels of Bank of America:  On 9/19, Bartels talked of a 50% probability  that the S&P would move into the 910-985 range.  On 9/25, she anticipated a range of 910-1020 into the first quarter of 2012.  However, longer term, Bartels feels that stocks are still the place to be.

Dennis Hynes of R.W. Pressprich has for months, most recently on 9/23 on Bloomberg, recommended selling into rallies.  He also sees gold resuming its uptrend.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Reviewing the Calls of Market Technicians

Louise Yamada, Technical Research Advisors, 9/20:  Ms. Yamada  was negative on stocks, but bullish on gold and silver.

Katie Stockton, MKM Partners, 8/16:  After bouncing off early August lows, S&P would hit ceiling at about 1220.  She recommended selling into rallies.  A good call.

Carter Werth, Oppenheimer, 9/2:  Market should hold above its early August low of 1100.  As of this moment, this call is being put to a severe test.

Eugene Peroni, Advisors Asset Management:  On 9/15 on CNBC, Peroni felt that the market was at a "pivotal moment" with the potential to move higher.  He particularly liked metals and materials, especially oil - ouch.  Back on CNBC on 9/29, Peroni looked for a break below the August lows, but he was constructive beyond that based on continued low interest rates and corporate earnings.

Barry Knapp Again

For the second time in two trading days, Barry Knapp of Barclays, appeared on Bloomberg during a major sell-off and reiterated his plus 1300 target for the S&P by year's end - a real profile in courage.

Monday, October 3, 2011

The VIX As A Positive Indicator

Jim Paulsen of Wells Capital Management and Jeffrey Kleintop of LPL Financial told Bloomberg that the rise of the VIX, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, above 40 is a positive for the market. For Paulsen, this measure currently indicates near panic and as such is a contrarian buy signal.